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DTN Midday Livestock Comments 04/01 11:48
Cattle Markets Continue Upward Climb Wednesday
Follow-through buying continued to develop across all cattle markets
Wednesday morning. Traders renewed support as the calendar turned to April and
focused on tight beef supplies.
Rick Kment
DTN Analyst
GENERAL COMMENTS:
Feeder cattle futures continued to move aggressively higher during Wednesday
morning trade with prices $3 to $4 per cwt higher. The underlying support seen
through the entire beef market and concerns overall cattle numbers will
continue to be reduced rather than rebound due to drought conditions and recent
fires could keep buyers bullish over an extended period. Live cattle contracts
have shifted higher, but limited early month buyer interest seems to be keeping
prices within current market ranges as traders seem to be unwilling to break
above new contract highs, at least for now. Lean hog futures have bounced back
from Tuesday's market pressure with mixed to mostly higher prices seen during
morning trade. May corn is down 6 at $4.518 and May soybean meal is down $0.10
at $316.3. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is up 370.53 at 46,712.04.
LIVE CATTLE
Live cattle futures have gained additional support with $1 per cwt gains in
nearby contracts based on expectations that beef prices will continue to remain
strong due to tighter supplies and the upcoming summer grilling season. April
contracts are holding above $244 per cwt in morning trade, although volume
seems to have slowed significantly from early week. Further buyer interest
seems to still be developing, especially given the firmness in outside
financial markets over the past couple of days. Cash cattle markets remain
undeveloped; all is quiet in feeding country at midday with bids and asking
prices still not fully established. Significant trade volume will likely be
delayed until Thursday and/or Friday. April live cattle are $0.93 higher at
$243.95, June live cattle are $0.83 higher at $244.1, August live cattle are
$0.70 higher at $240.50. Boxed beef prices are Lower: choice down $0.69
($394.80) and select down $0.30 ($392.63) with a movement of 73.27 loads (58.54
loads of choice, 6.21 loads of select, zero loads of trim and 8.52 loads of
ground beef).
FEEDER CATTLE:
Feeder cattle futures posted additional strong gains through the morning, up
to $3 to $4 per cwt higher in nearby contracts early. Trade has slowed slightly
at midday with nearby contracts losing some of the initial market momentum, but
an underlying firm market rally continues to hold with traders focusing on
strong technical and fundamental support still well entrenched within the
market. April futures are holding above $371 per cwt, but the ability for all
contracts through October to hold above $360 per cwt keeps traders focused on
the potential for additional upward market support in the near future. April
feeders are $2.35 higher at $371.475, May feeders are $2.43 higher at $368.9
and August feeders are $3.13 higher at $367.55.
LEAN HOGS:
Lean hog futures remain mixed Wednesday morning, although buyer support is
seen in spot month April, as well as late-summer contracts. With more focus
moving toward the May and June contracts following the first of April, light to
moderate pressure has slowly developed in these contracts. Traders remain
comfortable with the current market range, but given availability of pork and
market-ready hogs, buyers are hard pressed to aggressively move back into the
market in the near future. April lean hogs are $0.35 higher at $90.775, May
lean hogs are $0.38 lower at $96.15 and June lean hogs are $0.23 lower at
$104.825. Hog prices are lower on the Daily Direct Morning Hog report, down
$0.18 with a weighted average of $90.19, ranging from $89.50 to $91.00 on 1,449
head with a five-day rolling average of $90.19. Pork cutouts totaled 130.36
loads with 114.70 loads of pork cuts and 15.66 loads of trim. Pork cutout
values are down $0.95 at $96.13.
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